Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000176 0.000197 0.000220 0.000245 0.000274 0.000304 0.000340
2025-07-06 0.000147 0.000175 0.000207 0.000246 0.000292 0.000345 0.000410
2025-07-13 0.000124 0.000156 0.000194 0.000244 0.000305 0.000379 0.000475
2025-07-20 0.000110 0.000146 0.000190 0.000250 0.000327 0.000425 0.000559
2025-07-27 0.000098 0.000135 0.000183 0.000251 0.000344 0.000465 0.000636
2025-08-03 0.000087 0.000125 0.000177 0.000252 0.000358 0.000502 0.000713
2025-08-10 0.000077 0.000115 0.000169 0.000249 0.000366 0.000531 0.000781
2025-08-17 0.000071 0.000109 0.000164 0.000251 0.000381 0.000570 0.000864
2025-08-24 0.000064 0.000101 0.000158 0.000248 0.000388 0.000597 0.000933
2025-08-31 0.000058 0.000095 0.000152 0.000246 0.000397 0.000628 0.001009
2025-09-07 0.000053 0.000090 0.000148 0.000246 0.000408 0.000661 0.001091
2025-09-14 0.000049 0.000085 0.000143 0.000244 0.000415 0.000689 0.001166
2025-09-21 0.000046 0.000082 0.000142 0.000249 0.000433 0.000737 0.001279
2025-09-28 0.000043 0.000078 0.000139 0.000250 0.000446 0.000779 0.001384
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000074 0.000135 0.000248 0.000454 0.000810 0.001473
2025-10-12 0.000038 0.000072 0.000135 0.000255 0.000476 0.000869 0.001617
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000070 0.000133 0.000256 0.000491 0.000914 0.001738
2025-10-26 0.000033 0.000067 0.000130 0.000257 0.000502 0.000956 0.001856
2025-11-02 0.000031 0.000063 0.000126 0.000254 0.000508 0.000986 0.001953
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000061 0.000124 0.000256 0.000522 0.001033 0.002087
2025-11-16 0.000027 0.000058 0.000120 0.000253 0.000526 0.001061 0.002186
2025-11-23 0.000025 0.000055 0.000117 0.000252 0.000534 0.001096 0.002302
2025-11-30 0.000024 0.000053 0.000115 0.000252 0.000544 0.001138 0.002432